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Recent Publications


  • Publication cover with title

    Added July 21, 2014

    Revival of Political Islam in the Aftermath of Arab Uprisings: Implications for the Region and Beyond

    Authored by Dr. Mohammed El-Katiri.
    View the Executive Summary

    The rise to power of Islamist political parties in a number of North African states over the past 3 years has caused widespread concern over the future domestic and foreign policy directions of those states. This monograph explores political change in Egypt, Tunisia, and Morocco, and concludes that despite political crises in each country, worst case scenarios have not been borne out and there is hope for optimism.

  • Publication cover with title

    Added July 17, 2014

    European Missile Defense and Russia

    Authored by Keir Giles, Dr. Andrew Monaghan.
    View the Executive Summary

    Strong Russian opposition to U.S. plans for ballistic missile defense (BMD) in Europe is likely to intensify further through 2015-16 as Phase III of the European Phased Adaptive Approach is implemented. This monograph examines a number of fundamental reasons—some valid, some spurious—why Russia is alarmed at U.S. BMD plans, and provides recommendations for managing the missile defense dialogue with Russia in the future in order to mitigate potentially damaging responses.

  • Publication cover with title

    Added July 08, 2014

    Russia's Contribution as a Partner in the War on Terrorism

    Authored by Henry Plater-Zyberk.
    View the Executive Summary

    Russia and the United States have a common interest in fighting the threat of Islamist terrorism. In practice, however, efforts to achieve cooperation in this area have been hampered by differing concepts of terror and how to counter it, and institutional and procedural incompatibility between the two nations. This monograph explores counter-terrorism from a Russian viewpoint, in order to assess prospects for meaningful practical cooperation in this field with the United States.

  • Publication cover with title

    Added June 26, 2014

    Democratization and Instability in Ukraine, Georgia, and Belarus

    Authored by Dr. Robert Nalbandov.
    View the Executive Summary

    Ukraine, Georgia, and Belarus have remarkable variance and incongruence between their levels of democratization, political stability, and economic development. This monograph by Dr. Robert Nalbandov explains the reasons for the different indicators in the three categories and explains the successes and failures of the democratization efforts in three post-Soviet countries.

  • Publication cover with title

    Added June 24, 2014

    The Paracel Islands and U.S. Interests and Approaches in the South China Sea

    Authored by Lieutenant Colonel Clarence J. Bouchat (USAF, Ret.).
    View the Executive Summary

    Learn how the Paracel Islands disputes act as a primer about the South China Sea conflicts and U.S., Vietnamese, and Chinese relations in the region. This analysis may help the reader better understand these disputes, and how the United States may address them.

  • Publication cover with title

    Added June 19, 2014

    Operational Reservations: Considerations for a Total Army Force

    Authored by COL John D. Ellis, COL (Ret.) Laura McKnight Mackenzie.
    View the Executive Summary

    Despite fighting shoulder-to-shoulder this past decade, the U.S. Army is comprised of essentially “three Armies”—the active component, the Army Reserve, and the National Guard. While an intriguing start to integrate the three components, the Army Total Force Policy is not a panacea for reform. Real and meaningful work still needs to be done to bring the three into effective alignment and in a way to foster cooperation and mutual respect.

  • Publication cover with title

    Added June 17, 2014

    Moving Beyond Pretense: Nuclear Power and Nonproliferation

    Edited by Mr. Henry D. Sokolski.
    View the Executive Summary

    The further proliferation and possible use of nuclear weapons are among the very greatest threats to U.S. and international security, yet most governments and industry officials downplay the risks of civilian nuclear technology and materials being diverted to make bombs. They use this optimistic assessment in formulating U.S. and international nuclear trade and nonproliferation policies. This volume taps the insights and analyses of 13 top nuclear and security experts to weigh the validity of their narrative. The result is a comprehensive counternarrative that recommends a significant tightening of current nonproliferation controls.

  • Publication cover with title

    Added June 17, 2014

    2014-15 Key Strategic Issues List

    Edited by Professor John F. Troxell.
    For several years, the Strategic Studies Institute (SSI) has annually published the Key Strategic Issues List (KSIL). The purpose of this document is to make students and other researchers aware of strategic topics that are of special interest to the U.S. Army. Part I of KSIL is entitled "Army Priorities for Strategic Analysis" (APSA) and is a list of high-priority topics organized to support the Army's five strategic objectives as identified in the "2014 Army Strategic Planning Guidance." Students and researchers are encouraged to get in touch with the topic sponsors listed in the document. Thorough research and solid arguments on these topics are extremely important to the Army in this period of transition and geopolitical uncertainty.

  • Publication cover with title

    Added June 13, 2014

    Countering Radicalization and Recruitment to Al-Qaeda: Fighting the War of Deeds

    Authored by Dr. Paul Kamolnick.
    View the Executive Summary

    Fighting the War of Deeds begins by taking deeds seriously—deadly serious—as action, policy, and communication. As communication, deeds furnish the U.S. Government a uniquely potent means for countering al-Qaeda’s terrorist propaganda effectively, and also building longer-term alliances based on mutuality with the Arab and Muslim world.

  • Publication cover with title

    Added June 13, 2014

    The Growing Complexity of Sino-Indian Ties

    Authored by Dr. Harsh V. Pant.
    View the Executive Summary

    This monograph examines the evolution on Sino-India ties over the last few decades and the constraints that continue to inhibit this relationship from achieving its full potential before delineating the implications of this for the United States and the wider international system.

  • Publication cover with title

    Added June 13, 2014

    Memorandum for the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff: Secure Balance and Flexibility In Future Joint Forces

    Authored by Mr. Nathan P. Freier.
    The 25th Annual U.S. Army War College Strategy Conference "Balancing the Joint Force to Meet Future Security Challenges" occurred against the backdrop of a complicated decision making environment. It sought establish a context for future military decision making based on two foundational questions: what are the most important military demands facing U.S./partner forces through the next decade and how should they think about confronting them? The author endeavors to describe the context that emerged here.

  • Publication cover with title

    Added June 11, 2014

    Cyberterrorism after STUXNET

    Authored by Dr. Thomas M. Chen.
    View the Executive Summary

    This monograph examines the threat of cyberterrorism before and after STUXNET by addressing questions of motive, means, and opportunity. STUXNET has not changed the near-term likelihood of cyberterrorism, which remains low, but has implications for the cost-benefit weights of future attacks.

  • Publication cover with title

    Added June 03, 2014

    The Future of American Landpower: Does Forward Presence Still Matter? The Case of the Army in the Pacific

    Authored by Dr. John R. Deni.
    View the Executive Summary

    The U.S. Army's forward presence in the Pacific theater is long overdue for reconsideration and reconceptualization. Without unduly harming America's commitment to deterrence on the Korean peninsula, the Army forward presence could be reshaped and reconfigured to enable the United States to more effectively and more efficiently achieve its objectives across the Indo-Asia-Pacific region.

  • Publication cover with title

    Added May 23, 2014

    Islamism and Security in Bosnia-Herzegovina

    Authored by Leslie S. Lebl.
    View the Executive Summary

    Bosnia-Herzegovina, once thought to be on the way to joining the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and the European Union (EU), is instead falling behind, mired in political bickering, economic stalemate and governmental dysfunction. In this difficult situation, Islamism poses a significant threat to Bosnia’s fragile domestic stability.

  • Publication cover with title

    Added May 16, 2014

    From War to Deterrence? Israel-Hezbollah Conflict Since 2006

    Authored by Dr. Jean-Loup Samaan.
    View the Executive Summary

    Over the last 7 years, the border between Israel and Lebanon has remained quiet. Against all odds, in a Middle East experiencing tremendous challenges, Israel and Hezbollah did not trigger a new conflict. Here is the paradox of stability between these two foes which is at the origin of this monograph.

  • Publication cover with title

    Added May 13, 2014

    Soldiers of Misfortune?

    Authored by Dr. Thomas R. Mockaitis.
    View the Executive Summary

    What roles have security contractors played in missions in Iraq and Afghanistan?

  • Publication cover with title

    Added May 06, 2014

    The Resurgence of Al-Qaeda in Syria and Iraq

    Authored by Dr. Azeem Ibrahim.
    View the Executive Summary

    The Syrian civil war has allowed al-Qaeda to recover from its setbacks up to 2010. Syria has also seen a civil war between two al-Qaeda inspired factions (Al Nusrah and the Iraq based Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant) and indicates there are limits to its ability to cooperate with other anti-Assad factions and gain popular appeal.

  • Publication cover with title

    Added May 05, 2014

    Russian Military Transformation - Goal In Sight?

    Authored by Keir Giles, Dr. Andrew Monaghan.
    View the Executive Summary

    This Letort Paper assesses the range of options available to Russia for closing the capability gap with the United States and its allies, the authors review a flawed political perception of the key threats facing Russia and the challenges facing Russia’s military transformation.

  • Publication cover with title

    Added May 02, 2014

    Russia After Putin

    Authored by Dr. Richard J. Krickus.
    View the Executive Summary

    This monograph addresses the question: "What next after Putin?" The answer will have a profound impact on U.S.-Russian relations—in particular, the capacity to forge a security relationship. The campaign to eliminate Syria's chemical weapons indicates that a new "reset" is in the making.

  • Publication cover with title

    Added April 30, 2014

    A Soldier’s Morality, Religion, and Our Professional Ethic: Does the Army’s Culture Facilitate Integration, Character Development, and Trust in the Profession?

    Authored by Dr. Don M. Snider, COL (USA Ret) Alexander P. Shine.
    View the Executive Summary

    Are the Stewards of the Army Profession developing a culture that fosters the necessary integration of Soldiers' personal moralities with the Profession's Ethic? The authors suggest that they are not.

  • Publication cover with title

    Added April 25, 2014

    The Evolution of Los Zetas in Mexico and Central America: Sadism as an Instrument of Cartel Warfare

    Authored by Dr. George W. Grayson.
    View the Executive Summary

    Few cartel leaders acquire fame for culinary skills. However, Miguel Ángel “El 40” Treviño Morales, the sadistic erstwhile chief of Los Zetas, became skilled in preparing "el guiso" (the stew). His recipe is simple. After torturing a victim, even an infant, he plunged him into a 55-gallon pig cooker, doused him with gasoline, and set him on fire.

  • Publication cover with title

    Added April 22, 2014

    Assessing the People's Liberation Army in the Hu Jintao Era

    Edited by Mr. Roy Kamphausen, Dr. David Lai, Mr. Travis Tanner.
    View the Executive Summary

    How has President Hu Jintao contributed to China’s military modernization?

  • Publication cover with title

    Added April 16, 2014

    Augmenting Our Influence: Alliance Revitalization and Partner Development

    Edited by Dr. John R. Deni.
    View the Executive Summary

    The role of allies and partners in the future of American Landpower is discussed.

  • Publication cover with title

    Added March 31, 2014

    Russia's Counterinsurgency in North Caucasus: Performance and Consequences

    Authored by Dr. Ariel Cohen.
    View the Executive Summary

    Understanding the conflict in North Caucasus may be the key to understanding the future of the post-communist Russian state and its interaction with Islam, as well as regional mountainous insurgencies. The region’s turbulent past and present make it a potential source of future waves of instability both within Russia and abroad—especially if the Kremlin and the Russian and local elites fail to deal with accumulating local economic, social, religious, and political pressures.

  • Publication cover with title

    Added March 19, 2014

    Defense Planning for National Security: Navigation Aids for the Mystery Tour

    Authored by Dr. Colin S. Gray.
    View the Executive Summary

    What do we believe we know about the future with sufficient reliability for it to serve as a basis for defense planning? Science and social science are both utterly disarmed by the complete absence of data about the future, from the future.

  • Publication cover with title

    Added March 12, 2014

    Turkey-Kurdish Regional Government Relations After the U.S. Withdrawal From Iraq: Putting the Kurds on the Map?

    Authored by Bill Park.
    View the Executive Summary

    The withdrawal of U.S. combat forces from Iraq at the end of 2011 left behind a set of unresolved problems in the relationship between the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG), and the Federal Government in Baghdad, compounded by Erbil’s subsequent pursuit of an energy relationship with Turkey. This has deepened both Turkish-Iraqi and regional sectarian tensions and, along with developments in Syria, has raised the specter of wider Kurdish self-determination, a prospect that Washington has been slow to recognize.

  • Publication cover with title

    Added March 11, 2014

    Legality in Cyberspace: An Adversary View

    Authored by Keir Giles, Dr. Andrew Monaghan.
    View the Executive Summary

    The United States and its allies are in general agreement on the legal status of conflict in cyberspace. But other key cyber actors have radically different ideas on key concepts of cyber warfare, including when a state of war exists. This paper explores the Russian approach to legal constraints governing actions in cyberspace, in order to assist in formulating an effective response to Russian cyber initiatives.

  • Publication cover with title

    Added March 05, 2014

    The Chinese People's Liberation Army and Information Warfare

    Authored by Dr. Larry M. Wortzel.
    View the Executive Summary

    The Chinese government plans to establish a new air defense intercept zone which will include the Diaoyu or Senkaku Islands, sovereignty over which is disputed by Japan, China, and Taiwan. Due to complaints of cyber penetrations attributed to the Chinese People’s Liberation Army, U.S. Departments of Justice, Homeland Security, and State are devising new means to protect intellectual property and secrets from the PLA’s computer network operations.

  • Publication cover with title

    Added February 14, 2014

    Senior Officer Talent Management: Fostering Institutional Adaptability

    Authored by Lieutenant Colonel (Ret) Michael J. Colarusso, Lieutenant Colonel David S. Lyle.
    View the Executive Summary

    Former Secretary of Defense Robert Gates characterized the "greatest challenges facing the Army" as the "institutional and bureaucratic constipation" of its officer management systems. In this book, Mike Colarusso and Dave Lyle examine the Army's industrial-era personnel practices and prescribe a senior officer talent management approach that they believe is better suited to the demands of tomorrow.

  • Publication cover with title

    Added January 08, 2014

    New Realities: Energy Security in the 2010s and Implications for the U.S. Military - Executive Summaries

    Edited by Dr. John R. Deni.
    The rapidly changing global energy supply situation, coupled with a host of social, political, and economic challenges facing consumer states, has significant implications for the United States generally and for the U.S. military specifically. The U.S. Army War College gathered experts from the policymaking community, academia, think tanks, the private sector, and the military services at the Reserve Officers Association in Washington, DC on 19-20 November 2013 to address first the major ‘new realities’ both geographically and technologically and then the specific military implications. This compendium of executive summaries is based on the presentations delivered at that conference, which was funded through the generous support of the U.S. Army War College Foundation.

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