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Weapons of Mass Destruction Studies

Added November 22, 2016
Type: Book
Should We Let the Bomb Spread? Edited by Mr. Henry D. Sokolski.
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With nuclear proliferation in South Asia, the Middle East, and East Asia intensifying, the spread of nuclear arms increasingly is viewed as being more of a fact than a problem to be solved. However, is proliferation truly inevitable? More important, will it bring disastrous wars, a new era of mutually deterred peace, or is it ultimately inconsequential? This volume taps the nation’s leading nuclear deterrence and proliferation experts for the answers. The result is a rich debate that goes well beyond current scholarship to challenge the very basis of prevailing nonproliferation and security policies.
Added June 22, 2016
Type: Letort Papers
India's Evolving Nuclear Force and Implications for U.S. Strategy in the Asia-Pacific. Authored by Mr. Yogesh Joshi, Dr. Frank O'Donnell, Dr. Harsh V. Pant.
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This Letort Paper investigates the present status and contours of Indian nuclear force development, nuclear doctrinal views, and nonproliferation policy, before illustrating the effects of these emerging developments for Asian security and U.S. regional interests.
Added December 22, 2015
Type: Book
Underestimated: Our Not So Peaceful Nuclear Future. Authored by Mr. Henry D. Sokolski.
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Underestimated: Our Not So Peaceful Nuclear Future explores what nuclear future we may face over the next 3 decades and how we currently think about this future. Will nuclear weapons spread in the next 20 years to more nations than just North Korea and possibly Iran? How great will the consequences be? What can be done?
Added May 12, 2015
Type: Monograph
From Frozen Ties to Strategic Engagement: U.S.-Iranian Relationship in 2030. Authored by Mr. Roman Muzalevsky.
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The possibility of P5+1 and Iran reaching a nuclear deal and benefits of a U.S.-Iranian strategic détente prompt an assessment of a U.S.-Iranian strategic relationship over the next 15 years. This work identifies three possible types of such relationship, providing recommendations for the United States, Iran, and their partners to cultivate and prepare for a strategic shift that such a revised relationship entails.
Added February 20, 2015
Type: Letort Papers
Prospects for Iran's New Direction. Authored by Mr. Keir Giles.
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This monograph, completed ahead of the November 2014 deadline, examines some of the underlying factors which will be constant in dealing with a nuclear capable Iran under President Hassan Rouhani, and which will help determine the success or failure of talks in 2015.
Added November 06, 2014
Type: Book
Nuclear Weapons Materials Gone Missing: What Does History Teach? Edited by Mr. Henry D. Sokolski.
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Ever since President Obama spotlighted nuclear terrorism as one of the top threats to international security, guarding and disposing of nuclear weapons-useable materials have become top international priorities.
Added June 17, 2014
Type: Book
Moving Beyond Pretense: Nuclear Power and Nonproliferation. Edited by Mr. Henry D. Sokolski.
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The further proliferation and possible use of nuclear weapons are among the very greatest threats to U.S. and international security, yet most governments and industry officials downplay the risks of civilian nuclear technology and materials being diverted to make bombs. They use this optimistic assessment in formulating U.S. and international nuclear trade and nonproliferation policies. This volume taps the insights and analyses of 13 top nuclear and security experts to weigh the validity of their narrative. The result is a comprehensive counternarrative that recommends a significant tightening of current nonproliferation controls.
Added October 18, 2013
Type: Monograph
NATO Missile Defense and the European Phased Adaptive Approach: The Implications of Burden-Sharing and the Underappreciated Role of the U.S. Army. Authored by Mr. Steven J. Whitmore, Dr. John R. Deni.
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NATO's ballistic missile defense initiative remains a work in progress, but a lack of interceptor and sensor contributions on the part of the European allies is likely to have significant implications for the U.S. Army. In particular, the U.S. Army is likely to face increased manpower demands, materiel requirements, and training needs in order to meet the demand signal created by the NATO ballistic missile defense program.
Added July 30, 2013
Type: Book
Nuclear Weapons Security Crises: What Does History Teach? Edited by Mr. Henry D. Sokolski, Dr. Bruno Tertrais.
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What do China’s Cultural Revolution, a coup in French Algeria, the fall of the Soviet Union, and the changing nature of the Pakistani government have in common? All represent situations when the respective governments came close to losing control of their nuclear arsenals during political crises. This volume reveals previously unknown details about the four cases and offers additional analysis and lessons learned by leading scholars.
Added November 14, 2012
Type: Monograph
Jihadist Cells and "IED" Capabilities in Europe: Assessing the Present and Future Threat to the West. Authored by Dr. Jeffrey M. Bale.
The increasing diffusion and application of expertise acquired by jihadists in fabricating “improvised explosive devices” and the extent to which local jihadist cells in the West may or may not be connected to veteran terrorist groups and networks in other countries and regions are vital concerns for Western military forces and security and intelligence agencies as they relate to these veteran terrorist groups and networks in other countries and regions of the world.
Added July 25, 2012
Type: Book
The Next Arms Race. Edited by Mr. Henry D. Sokolski.
As the United States and Russia negotiate to bring their number of deployed nuclear weapons down, China, India, Pakistan, and Israel continue to bump their numbers up while a growing number of smaller states develop “peaceful” nuclear programs that will bring them closer to getting bombs if they choose. Welcome to the brave new world of tighter, more opaque nuclear competitions, the focus of The Next Arms Race—a must read for policy analysts and planners eager to understand and prevent the worst.
Added April 12, 2012
Type: Book
Tactical Nuclear Weapons and NATO. Edited by Dr. Tom Nichols, Dr. Douglas Stuart, Dr. Jeffrey D. McCausland.
What is the role that tactical or non-strategic nuclear weapons (NSNWs) play in NATO defense policy and strategy? This book examines the key issues surrounding this question as the Alliance seeks to redefine itself in the 21st century and meet the requirements in the Defense and Deterrence Policy Review.
Added November 25, 2011
Type: Monograph
Forecasting Zero: U.S. Nuclear History and the Low Probability of Disarmament. Authored by Mr. Jonathan Pearl.
Should the United States relinquish its nuclear weapons? This monograph discusses both the technical and political factors related to the future of American nuclear weapons.
Added November 22, 2011
Type: Book
Russian Nuclear Weapons: Past, Present, and Future. Edited by Dr. Stephen J. Blank.
A new work by leading Russian, European, and U.S. experts analyzing the multiple issues of force structure, doctrine, strategy, and Russian national security policy connected with Russia’s reliance on nuclear weapons as the main deterrent of threats to its security.
Added December 31, 2010
Type: Book
Nuclear Power's Global Expansion: Weighing Its Costs and Risks. Edited by Mr. Henry D. Sokolski.
Will the global spread of nuclear power programs, which could bring many more countries much closer to acquiring nuclear weapons capabilities, be an inevitable consequence of energy market economics? Or is such an expansion impossible without government subsidies and new policies to support them? This volume showcases the analyses of some of the world’s leading energy experts to shed light on this key 21st century security issue.
Added April 29, 2010
Type: Book
Reviewing the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT). Edited by Mr. Henry D. Sokolski.
Why does the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT) warrant support as a nonproliferation convention?
Added December 03, 2009
Type: Student (Carlisle) Papers
An All Hazards Training Center for a Catastrophic Emergency. Authored by Colonel Xavier Stewart.
The author has experienced dramatic changes in homeland security theory, policy and practices. He proposes the establishment of All-Hazard Training Centers in the 10 Federal Emergency Management Agency regions to train civil support team (weapons of mass destruction) emergency responders for chemical, biological radiological, nuclear, explosive, and cyberspace events or natural catastrophes.
Added September 16, 2009
Type: Monograph
Escalation and Intrawar Deterrence During Limited Wars in the Middle East. Authored by Dr. W. Andrew Terrill.
This monograph seeks to analyze military escalation and intrawar deterrence by examining two key wars where these concepts became especially relevant—the 1973 Arab-Israeli War and the 1991 Gulf War against Iraq. A central conclusion of this monograph is that intrawar deterrence is an inherently fragile concept, and that the nonuse of weapons of mass destruction in both wars was the result of a number of positive factors that may not be repeated in future conflicts.
Added January 26, 2009
Type: Book
Nuclear Heuristics: Selected Writings of Albert and Roberta Wohlstetter. Edited by Mr. Robert Zarate, Mr. Henry D. Sokolski.
Pioneers of nuclear-age policy analysis, Albert Wohlstetter (1913-1997) and Roberta Wohlstetter (1912-2007) emerged as two of America's most consequential, innovative and controversial strategists. Through the clarity of their thinking, the rigor of their research, and the persistence of their personalities, they were able to shape the views and aid the decisions of Democratic and Republican policy makers both during and after the Cold War. Although the Wohlstetters' strategic concepts and analytical methods continue to be highly influential, no book has brought together their most important published and unpublished essays--until now.
Added April 28, 2008
Type: Student (Carlisle) Papers
Prospects from Korean Unification. Authored by Colonel, Australian Army David Coghlan.
For a number of reasons, many of which are self-induced, the United States is in danger of losing, or may have already lost, the strategic initiative in Korea to the People's Republic of China. Given time, the ramifications of ceding the initiative to China may result in a unified Korea tilted toward Beijing.
Added March 24, 2008
Type: Monograph
Projecting Pyongyang: The Future of North Korea's Kim Jong Il Regime. Authored by Dr. Andrew Scobell.
The author explores the future of the regime of Kim Jong Il, constructs a number of scenarios, and then identifies the most plausible one.
Added February 27, 2008
Type: Book
Falling Behind: International Scrutiny of the Peaceful Atom. Edited by Mr. Henry D. Sokolski.
If possible, it would be useful to enhance the International Atomic Energy Agency’s ability to detect and prevent nuclear diversions. This would not only reduce the current risk of nuclear proliferation, it would make the further expansion of nuclear power much less risky.
Added February 25, 2008
Type: Monograph
The North Korean Ballistic Missile Program. Authored by Dr. Daniel A. Pinkston.
North Korea has never officially abandoned its objective of “completing the revolution in the south” and has continued an alarming military buildup. The ballistic missile inventory now totals about 800 road-mobile missiles, including about 200 Nodong missiles that could strike Japan.
Added April 01, 2006
Type: Monograph
The Proliferation Security Initiative as a New Paradigm for Peace and Security. Authored by Dr. Mark R. Shulman.
The Proliferation Security Initiative is a multinational activity launched in 2003 to enable the United States and like-minded countries to interdict the flow of weapons of mass destruction. The author addresses some of the legal, political and strategic issues raised by this ambitious and timely initiative.
Added December 01, 2005
Type: Book
Assessing the Biological Weapons and Bioterrorism Threat. Authored by Mr. Milton Leitenberg.
It is nearly 15 years since biological weapons (BW) have become a significant national security preoccupation. The events of September 11, 2001, although not in any way related to BW, combined with the distribution of professionally prepared anthrax spores through the U.S. postal system in the weeks afterwards, magnified previous concerns by orders of magnitude.
Added November 01, 2000
Type: Book
Transnational Threats: Blending Law Enforcement and Military Strategies. Edited by Dr. Carolyn Pumphrey.
On February 2-3, 2000, the U.S. Army War College, the Triangle Institute for Security Studies, and the Duke University Center for Law, Ethics, and National Security co-sponsored a conference in Chapel Hill, North Carolina. The conference examined transnational threats, including terrorism involving weapons of mass destruction, cyber threats to the national infrastructure, and international organized crime.
Added March 01, 2000
Type: Book
Prevailing in a Well-Armed World: Devising Competitive Strategies Against Weapons Proliferation. Edited by Mr. Henry D. Sokolski.
This book provides insights into the competitive strategies methodology. The book also demonstrates the strengths of the competitive strategies approach as an instrument for examining U.S. policy. The method focuses on policies regarding the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction.
Added December 01, 1998
Type: Monograph
Security Implications of the Proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction in the Middle East. Authored by Dr. Sami G. Hajjar.
This monograph addresses the important question of the security implications for the nations of the region of the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction in the Middle East. The author offers a unique perspective based on extensive interviews that he conducted in the region, and makes specific policy recommendations for U.S. military and civilian decisionmakers.
Added January 01, 1997
Type: Book
The Chemical Weapons Convention: Strategic Implications for the United States. Authored by Mr. Frederick J. Vogel.
On January 13, 1993, in Paris, 130 countries signed the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC) to ban the entire class of chemical weapons. Many of those nations have since ratified it. In this country, debate continues on the strategic implications of the convention, as drafted, and whether it is in the U.S. national security interest.
Added March 01, 1993
Type: Book
The Nature of the Post-Cold War World. Authored by Mr. Charles William Maynes, Mr. William G. Hyland.
The editors of the nation's two leading journals on foreign policy were asked to examine the nature of the post-cold war world and America's transitional role. Charles Maynes believes power will become more evenly distributed as America's military dominance recedes and others' economic power increases. William Hyland advises against grand strategic visions.