First Principles for
21st Century Defense

Day 1 - Tuesday, April 7, 2015
9:00AM-6:00PM   Registration and Orientation
Location - AHEC
11:00AM-1:30PM   U.S. Army Heritage and Education Center Tours
Location - Army Heritage and Education Center (AHEC)
11:30AM-1:00PM   Carlisle Scholars Panel: "Hiding from Hard Choices: Defense Strategy and Risk Management"
Location - AHEC

Panelists: LtCol Derek O'Malley, United States Air Force; LTC Cliff Trout, United States Army; LTC Chuck Rush, United States Army; Professor Andrew Hill, Department of Command, Leadership, and Management, USAWC

2:00PM-4:00PM   "The Strategic Landscape: Trends in International Security"
Location - AHEC
USAWC Partner: Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

Panelists: Dr. Kathleen Hicks, Senior Vice President, Henry A. Kissinger Chair, and Director, International Security Program, CSIS; Mr. Andy Hoehn, Senior Vice President — Research and Analysis, RAND; Dr. Mara Karlin, Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Strategy and Capabilities; Mr. Nate Freier, Associate Professor of National Security Studies, USAWC Strategic Studies Institute

6:00PM-8:00PM   Pre-Conference Mixer
Host: Major General William E. Rapp, USA, USAWC Commandant
Location - Quarters 1, Carlisle Barracks
Day 2 - Wednesday, April 8, 2015
7:30AM-8:30AM   Check-in and Refreshments
Location - Bliss Hall
8:30AM-9:15AM   Keynote Address — "International Security and Future Defense Strategy"
Location - Bliss Hall Auditorium

Speaker: The Honorable Robert O. Work
Deputy Secretary of Defense

9:30AM-10:45AM   "A Prisoner's Dilemma? The Ten Year Defense Outlook"
USAWC Partner: National Defense University/Institute for National Strategic Studies (INSS)
Location - Bliss Hall Auditorium

Panelists — Dr. Richard D. Hooker, Jr., Director, INSS; Dr. Kori Schake, Research Fellow, Hoover Institution; Dr. Janine Davidson, Senior Fellow for Defense Policy, Council on Foreign Relations; Dr. Michael Meese, Chief Operating Officer and Secretary, American Armed Forces Mutual Aid Association; Dr. Frank Jones, Professor, USAWC Department of National Security Studies

11:00AM-12:15PM   "Synchronizing Strategic Forecasting and Defense Strategy Development"
Location - Letort View Community Center (LVCC)

Speaker: Dr. Gregory Treverton
Chairman, National Intelligence Council
12:30PM-1:45PM   "The New Great Game: Asia/Pacific Security Competition and its Impact on U.S. Defense Strategy"
Location - Bliss Hall Auditorium
USAWC Partner: Center for Naval Analyses (CNA)

Panelists: Dr. Eric V. Thompson, Vice President and Director of Strategic Studies, CNA; Dr. Patrick M. Cronin, Senior Adviser and Senior Director, Asia-Pacific Security Program, Center for a New American Security; Mr. Bryan Clark, Senior Fellow, Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments; Dr. David Lai, Research Professor of Asia Security Studies, USAWC Strategic Studies Institute; Dr. Phillip Saunders, Distinguished Research Fellow, INSS

2:00PM-3:15PM   "The Gray Zone: Russia and Iran's Hybrid Playbook"
Location - Bliss Hall Auditorium
USAWC Partner: Atlantic Council's Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security

Panelists: Robert Nurick, Senior Fellow, Brent Scowcroft Center for International Security; Dr. Maren Leed, Senior Adviser, CSIS; Dr. Michael Connell, Senior Research Scientist and Director, Iranian Studies Program, CNA; Dr. John R. Deni, Research Professor Joint, Interagency, Intergovernmental, and Multinational Studies, USAWC Strategic Studies Institute; Mr. Frank G. Hoffman, Senior Research Fellow, INSS

3:30PM-4:45PM   "Forever War: MENA/SA Disorder and Its Worldwide Military Implications"
Location - Bliss Hall Auditorium
USAWC Partner: National Defense University/Near East South Asia Center for Strategic Studies (NESA)

Panelists: Dr. David W. Lamm, Deputy Director, NESA; Dr. Shibley Telhami, Anwar Sadat Professor for Peace and Development, University of Maryland; Dr. Joshua Landis, Director, Center for Middle East Studies, University of Oklahoma ; Dr. Robert D. Lamb, Visiting Research Professor, USAWC Strategic Studies Institute

6:30PM-9:00PM   Banquet/Speaker: "Strategic Planning Priorities Through 2025"
Location - Bliss Hall Auditorium/LVCC

Speaker: The Honorable Robert Scher
Assistant Secretary of Defense for Strategy, Plans, and Capabilities

Day 3 - Thursday, April 9, 2015
7:30AM-8:30AM   Check-In/Refreshments
Location - Bliss Hall Foyer
8:30AM-9:30AM   Morning Address: "Partners & Allies: Maximizing the Opportunities "
Location - Bliss Hall Auditorium

Speaker: Mr. Steve McCarthy, Minister (Defence Material), British Embassy Washington

9:45AM-11:10AM   "Gray Swans, Black Swans, and Future Regret"
Location - Bliss Hall Auditorium
USAWC Partner: Global Security Program, National Intelligence Council

Panelists: Mr. Dan Flynn, Director, Global Security Program, National Intelligence Council; Dr. Michael Horowitz, Associate Professor of Political Science, University of Pennsylvania; Dr. Maura Sullivan, Chief of Strategy and Innovation, Department of the Navy; Dr. Steven Metz, Director of Research, USAWC Strategic Studies Institute; Dr. Nadia Schadlow, Senior Program Officer, Smith Richardson Foundation

11:00AM-12:15PM   Elective Noontime Lectures
  • "New Frontiers: Climate Change, Public Health, and the Impact on DoD Missions"
    Location: Letort View Community Club
    Panelists: Ms. Maureen Sullivan, Director, Environmental Management, Office of the Secretary of Defense; Dr. Dennis Carroll, United States Agency for International Development
  • "Defense Challenges in Cyberspace and the Electro-Magnetic Spectrum"
    Location: Letort View Community Club
    Panelists: Professor William Waddell, USAWC Center for Strategic Leadership and Development
  • "Economy of Force? Security Challenges In and From the Americas and Africa"
    Location: Letort View Community Club
    Panelists: Mr. Richard Downie, Deputy Director and Fellow, Africa Program, CSIS; Dr. R. Evan Ellis, Associate Professor of Latin American Affairs, USAWC Strategic Studies Institute
  • "Homeland Security in the Post-9/11 World"
    Location: Letort View Community Club
    Panelists: Mr. Bert B. Tussing, Director, Homeland Defense and Security Issues, USAWC Center for Strategic Leadership and Development; Additional TBD
  • "New Defense Technologies and Their Impact on Performance"
    Location: Letort View Community Club
    Panelists: Mr. Paul Scharre, Fellow and Director, 20YY Warfare Initiative, Center for a New American Security; Andrew Herr, President Helicase LLC
12:45PM-2:00PM   Senior Adviser Roundtable — "Choices and Risk: Key Principles for Defense Planning"
Location — Bliss Hall Auditorium

Panelists: Franklin D. Kramer, Distinguished Fellow, Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security; Lieutenant General Christopher D. Miller, USAF, Ret., Distinguished Graduate Scholar, United States Air Force Academy; Lieutenant General Terry A. Wolf, USA, Ret., Director, NESA; Lieutenant General Wallace C. Gregson, USMC, Ret., President, W.C. Gregson and Associates; Dr. Peter W. Singer, Strategist and Senior Fellow, New America Foundation; Mr. Nate Freier, Associate Professor of National Security Studies, USAWC Strategic Studies Institute

2:15PM-3:15PM   Closing Remarks and Thank Yous
Location - Bliss Hall Auditorium

Speaker: TBD